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Oct 4, 2012
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joining us for a bit of a debate around this is head of developed markets rate strategy at citi. thanks for coming along. so what are you expecting from the ecb, when will they move next? >> i think today will be a monday event. the market is not pricing any in move. if there's going to be a change in policy, it will happen probably towards the end of the year and then most likely forecast also another change in the first quarter much next year. so it's all about expectations for the future. >> how do you trade around those expectations? >> the way to trade around it is to carry. the ecb has carry rich. you have on libor a quite steep structure. and so what we expect our baseline scenario to profit from long positions there. >> let's put this into the context of what's going on. we have the central banks and developed markets, the bank of englands as well today, most people agree that we won't get anything from the bank of england until november, december. any thoughts there? >> i think with regards to the fmoc minutes, what we'll get is most likely some sort of sense for unhappi
joining us for a bit of a debate around this is head of developed markets rate strategy at citi. thanks for coming along. so what are you expecting from the ecb, when will they move next? >> i think today will be a monday event. the market is not pricing any in move. if there's going to be a change in policy, it will happen probably towards the end of the year and then most likely forecast also another change in the first quarter much next year. so it's all about expectations for the...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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since bill clinton visited back in 1999. 7,000 police officers are on duty and they've blocked off the city to the protesters because at any cost they do want to avoid violence flaring up. on it so it's now a red zone. so police is on heavy guard because they'll have water cannons available, snipers are positioned around where the german delegation is staying. why is she coming now, why didn't she visit the two previous governments? because she knows hostility towards her is extremely high. remember for the better part of the last three or four year, she was seen as a scapegoat for the tough austerity measures that have been implemented here and that has led to the deep, deep recession in this country. well, she wants to send a message of support and solidarity about the reform efforts that have already been taken. but privately she'll be pressuring to say you have to continue with the reform efforts and we're not coming with any gifts. we'll make no further concessions. that will be her tough message as she comes here today. back over to you. >> what's interesting is that maybe the timing
since bill clinton visited back in 1999. 7,000 police officers are on duty and they've blocked off the city to the protesters because at any cost they do want to avoid violence flaring up. on it so it's now a red zone. so police is on heavy guard because they'll have water cannons available, snipers are positioned around where the german delegation is staying. why is she coming now, why didn't she visit the two previous governments? because she knows hostility towards her is extremely high....
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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standing patiently buy, steven engler, global head of a g-10 fx strategy at citi. thanks for joining us again. want to come to some of your u.s. dollar calls. you've been making the point that on the economic data in the u.s. dollar moves have been consistently moving hand in hand of late in the past they used to move in the opposition direction. so do you put this down to the qe-3 factor? >> in part, although it's been in place even when qe-3, or when quantitative easing hasn't been a major driver, a major force in the market. you have to realize that when you take a look at correlations over long periods of time, the dollar is kind of the currency of despair. you buy it when the economy is weak and you pretty much sell everything else. i think qe-3 is kind of making it easy for the euro and the europeans to look good right now because much of the world is terrified about the balance sheet expansion that they expect to occur and the flood of liquidity. so i think that there's a bias in the market. you know, to sell dollars broadly. in that circumstance, you look a
standing patiently buy, steven engler, global head of a g-10 fx strategy at citi. thanks for joining us again. want to come to some of your u.s. dollar calls. you've been making the point that on the economic data in the u.s. dollar moves have been consistently moving hand in hand of late in the past they used to move in the opposition direction. so do you put this down to the qe-3 factor? >> in part, although it's been in place even when qe-3, or when quantitative easing hasn't been a...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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foot city 100 down three quarters. it was up last week. ibex down just under 1% at the moment. p but bond yields still pretty contains. so what are investors to do at the start of the new trading week? here's some of the thoughts already expressed on cnbc today. >> i think the dollar can trade against the euro. you mentioned the australian dollar. that's a little bit more complicated given that the slowdown in asia that we're seeing and in rba that's cutting rates. so it's only right that the aussie dollar is down. >> three point trade on the italian market, so you sell the 2023 paper, buy the 227 and sell the 2029. >> if they leave the euro, they have down side. my view now is that given the omts and what we're seeing, they're a buy. >> plenty more of course coming up throughout the day. meanwhile in britain, the chance lore george osbourne expected to announce further austerity measures in around 30 minutes. he's presenting his plan at the conservative party conference in birming hachl. beccy meehan has been there and she caught up with the chancellor and asked him if more au
foot city 100 down three quarters. it was up last week. ibex down just under 1% at the moment. p but bond yields still pretty contains. so what are investors to do at the start of the new trading week? here's some of the thoughts already expressed on cnbc today. >> i think the dollar can trade against the euro. you mentioned the australian dollar. that's a little bit more complicated given that the slowdown in asia that we're seeing and in rba that's cutting rates. so it's only right that...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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the company has also been confronting walkouts in eight cities but the numbers have been relatively small. kelly. >> thanks for that, ross. apple has a pretty loyal customer base, perhaps none stronger than in teenagers. 40% of teens own and iphone. 44% own a tablet with the ipad make up three quarters of those devices. kids who plan to buy a new tablet, 43% say they'd be more likely to go with apple if it starts selling a smaller ipad and it's expected to do so sometime this fall. tell us what you think about the loyalty to apple. is it a sign perhaps of saturation? what's it mean for competitors? you can e-mail us here or tweet us. you can also reach us directly. ross? >> still to come on the show, the imf makes its feelings clear on the eurozone. we'll have more details when we come back. we use this board to compare car insurance rates side by side so you get the same coverage, often for less. that's one smart board. what else does it do, reverse gravity? [ laughs ] [ laughs ] [ whooshing ] tell me about it. why am i not going anywhere? you don't believe hard enough. a smarter way to
the company has also been confronting walkouts in eight cities but the numbers have been relatively small. kelly. >> thanks for that, ross. apple has a pretty loyal customer base, perhaps none stronger than in teenagers. 40% of teens own and iphone. 44% own a tablet with the ipad make up three quarters of those devices. kids who plan to buy a new tablet, 43% say they'd be more likely to go with apple if it starts selling a smaller ipad and it's expected to do so sometime this fall. tell...